BraggPicks

BraggPicks results ledger

Every bet the team has closed on Kalshi and Polymarket US, losses included. Generated from the team's trading ledger. Last updated Nov 3, 2026, 5:38 AM ET.

15-8 · +$43.35 · +4.3u
Team-gated bets held to settlement: 15-8, +$43.35, +4.3u (1u = $10) · 23 bets · $271.65 staked
Excludes 2 owner-directed calls (0-2, -$26.17)

Small sample: 23 bets held to settlement, closed Oct 30, 2026 – Nov 3, 2026. That's too few to show skill, and we don't claim an edge. Early exits and owner-directed calls are listed below in sections 2 and 3. Open bets (0) are listed in section 4 and aren't graded until they settle.

1. Team bets held to settlement

15-8 · +$43.35 · +4.3u · $271.65 staked · 23 bets

Date (ET)SportVenueMarketPriceStakeResultP/L
Oct 31, 2026College FootballKalshiNotre Dame @ Navy OVER 55.548.0¢$9.95Loss-$9.95
Oct 31, 2026College FootballKalshiIllinois @ Maryland, Illinois ML (adds to PM-ILL-1)
Owner-suggested, passed the team's checks (GO). Counted in the team record.		57.0¢$1.17Win+$0.83
Oct 31, 2026College FootballKalshiWisconsin @ Iowa UNDER 37.556.0¢$9.81Win+$7.19
Oct 31, 2026College FootballPolymarket USIllinois @ Maryland, Illinois moneyline56.0¢$15.01Win+$10.99
Oct 31, 2026College FootballKalshiMarshall @ Old Dominion UNDER 46.551.0¢$9.49Loss-$9.49
Oct 31, 2026College FootballPolymarket USSouthern Miss @ UL Monroe, Southern Miss moneyline61.0¢$14.92Win+$9.08
Oct 31, 2026College FootballPolymarket USSouth Carolina @ Oklahoma, South Carolina ML40.5¢$14.76Win+$20.22
Oct 31, 2026College FootballPolymarket USClemson @ Florida State, FSU ML (NO on Clemson)67.6¢$10.00Loss-$10.00
Oct 31, 2026College FootballKalshiOklahoma St @ Iowa St, OVER 58.549.0¢$9.64Win+$9.36
Oct 31, 2026College FootballPolymarket USMiami @ UNC OVER 53.550.0¢$10.00Win+$9.32
Nov 1, 2026NFLPolymarket USIND @ JAX, Bhayshul Tuten anytime TD50.0¢$9.83Win+$9.17
Nov 1, 2026NFLKalshiLV @ NYJ, Michael Mayer 3+ receptions58.0¢$14.93Win+$10.07
Nov 1, 2026NFLPolymarket USMIN @ DET moneyline62.5¢$9.62Win+$5.38
Nov 1, 2026NFLKalshiCLE @ PIT, Jaylen Warren 3+ receptions58.0¢$14.93Loss-$14.93
Nov 1, 2026NFLKalshiTEN @ CIN, Tee Higgins 70+ receiving yards52.0¢$8.60Win+$7.40
Nov 1, 2026NFLPolymarket USARI @ DAL, CeeDee Lamb 7+ receptions49.0¢$14.71Win+$14.29
Nov 1, 2026NFLKalshiLAC @ LAR, Puka Nacua 8+ receptions53.0¢$9.85Win+$8.15
Nov 1, 2026NFLPolymarket USKC @ DEN moneyline50.7¢$14.70Loss-$14.70
Nov 1, 2026NBAPolymarket USBKN vs IND, NO (IND win) moneyline [ledger slug: aec-nba-bkn-ind-2026-11-01]60.0¢$19.73Loss-$19.73
Nov 2, 2026NBAPolymarket USNOP vs MEM, MEM (Grizzlies win) moneyline [ledger slug: aec-nba-no-mem-2026-11-02]65.0¢$9.99Loss-$9.99
Nov 2, 2026NFLPolymarket USCHI @ SEA, player prop: NO (Raymond <=2 rec) [ledger slug: astatc-nfl-chi-sea-2026-11-02-rec-kalray-gte3]60.0¢$20.00Win+$12.43
Nov 3, 2026NBAPolymarket USPHO @ GS, player prop: YES (Podziemski 15+ pts) [ledger slug: astatc-nba-pho-gs-2026-11-02-pts-brapod-gte15]53.0¢$10.00Win+$8.26
Nov 3, 2026NBAPolymarket USMIA @ LAL, player prop: YES (Reaves 4+ reb) [ledger slug: astatc-nba-mia-lal-2026-11-02-reb-ausrea-gte4]57.0¢$10.00Loss-$10.00

2. Early exits (sold before the result)

Team positions we closed before the game was decided. They're not in the headline above, but they're never hidden.

0-7 · -$8.24 · -0.8u · $64.26 staked · 7 bets

Date (ET)SportVenueMarketPriceStakeResultP/L
Oct 31, 2026NBAPolymarket USCLE vs MIL, NO (Bucks) moneyline [ledger slug: nba-cle-mil-2026-10-31]25.0¢$10.00Loss-$1.73
Oct 31, 2026Other (politics)KalshiTexas Senate winner? (SENATETX-26, James Talarico / Democrat)29.0¢$4.87Loss-$0.46
Oct 31, 2026College FootballKalshiColorado St. vs Utah St. (Oct 31) - Colorado St. wins30.0¢$9.76Loss-$1.51
Oct 31, 2026College FootballPolymarket USSMU vs Syracuse, NO (Syracuse) moneyline [ledger slug: cfb-smu-syra-2026-10-31]24.5¢$9.80Loss-$1.16
Oct 31, 2026College FootballPolymarket USMissouri vs Arkansas, NO (Arkansas) moneyline [ledger slug: cfb-missr-ark-2026-10-31]23.0¢$9.93Loss-$1.21
Oct 31, 2026College FootballPolymarket USOregon St. vs Fresno St. (Sat Oct 31, 11 PM ET) - Fresno St. wins31.5¢$9.90Loss-$1.05
Nov 2, 2026NBAPolymarket USNOP vs MEM, Pelicans moneyline [ledger slug: aec-nba-no-mem-2026-11-02]
Execution error: the wrong side was bought, then sold to fix it. Counted as a loss.		36.0¢$10.00Loss-$1.12

3. Owner-directed calls

Bets the owner asked for directly. They aren't team-model picks, so they're listed separately.

0-2 · -$26.17 · -2.6u · $29.53 staked · 2 bets

Date (ET)SportVenueMarketPriceStakeResultP/L
Oct 30, 2026NBAKalshiBulls at Celtics (Oct 30, 7:30 PM ET) - Bulls win13.0¢$14.90Loss-$14.90
Nov 1, 2026NFLKalshiRavens at Bills (Sun Nov 1, 1 PM ET) - Ravens win
Sold before the result on the owner's instruction		39.0¢$14.64Loss-$11.27

4. Open, not graded

Team bets that haven't settled yet. They are not counted in the record, P&L, units or any breakdown above until they settle; then they move to section 1 or 2.

No open team bets right now.

Price = entry price per contract (a 62¢ price is about a 62% implied chance). Stake = all-in cost, including any fees the ledger records. P/L = realized profit or loss in US dollars. Dates are close or settlement dates, US Eastern.